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Idea 01 · Journey

Carbon Credits & Carbon Trading

We believed carbon markets could be the next big thing, so we gave ourselves a simple rule: explore one part of it in depth every day and publish the progress every week. This is what those months actually looked like.

Week 1

Learning the market from the ground up

We started with the basics of how a credit comes into existence: how credits are generated, verified, stored and traded, mostly through purpose-built projects whose primary aim is generating credits in the first place.

Alongside that we studied regulatory intent in India, existing platforms and global case studies (our favourites: Verra, IETA, Varaha, Bayer and AirCarbon Exchange), and demand-side realities for mid-sized companies.

The question we kept circling: where is the real opportunity, trading, verification, or facilitation?

Week 2

Building technical clarity

We charted the full lifecycle of a carbon credit: generation, monitoring, verification, how it finally reaches a buyer through platforms, and retirement at the end of its life.

MRV (Monitoring, Reporting and Verification) became central to every discussion. We broke it down beyond the acronym: how carbon is stored and classified into POM and MOM, why permanence, additionality and leakage matter, and how credibility at the verification layer directly drives pricing and buyer trust.

Regenerative agriculture kept standing out because of its dual impact: improved soil health alongside sequestration. And its natural fit with a country of India's farming scale. We studied the operating models of Varaha and Grow Indigo and found most models are structurally similar: onboard farmers, shift practices, measure soil carbon, aggregate credits, sell to institutional buyers. The differentiation lies in the technology stack, farmer aggregation strategy and strength of the MRV system.

Across standards we saw a visible shift from quantity-driven issuance to quality-driven demand, with soil and nature-based credits gaining preference over generic renewable energy credits.

The Plan

Biochar: the 'cash cow'

Here's the idea one of our members called a cash cow: instead of burning farm waste, farmers hand it over to someone who processes it into a form that improves soil fertility, reduces emissions and increases water retention. And they get paid extra for doing so. The process that turns farm waste into biochar (a biofertiliser that raises soil carbon content, with applications in steel smelting too) is called pyrolysis.

Revenue

Machine capacity (farm waste intake)
10 tons/hour
Working hours
12 hrs/day
Daily consumption
120 tons
Daily output
40 tons of biochar
Carbon credits generated
80 credits/day
Daily revenue
₹2,38,000
Monthly revenue
₹71,40,000

Operating costs

MRV cost per credit
₹1,500
Daily MRV cost
₹1,20,000
Electricity
₹4,000
Labour
₹5,000
Transport
₹5,000
Total variable costs
₹1,33,000/day

Operating profit

₹1,05,000/day · ₹3.78 Cr a year from one plant

All figures are educated guesses from our early modelling.

Roadblocks

Or, as we prefer to call them, opportunities

Liquidity: the model is CapEx-heavy and credit issuance takes a long time.

Seasonality: farm waste isn't available year-round, which leaves the off-season unanswered.

Geography: not all inputs can be sourced everywhere; different states offer very different opportunities.

March

A primary research sprint instead of more assumptions

Rather than build further on guesses, we paused and spoke to founders, project developers, registry experts and operators sitting across different parts of the carbon market value chain. Not just to validate our idea, but to understand how the market actually works beneath the surface.

  • The ecosystem is far more complex than it appears from the outside
  • Timelines are long, uncertain and capital-heavy
  • Supply-side problems (aggregation, logistics, MRV) are severely underestimated
  • Demand exists, but it is nuanced and constantly evolving
  • Execution here isn't about building a plant; it's about building an entire ecosystem around it

Where we left it

None of this takes away from the opportunity. If anything, it reinforced how large and important this space is going to be. It simply meant that, for now, we step back and move onto something new. We learnt far more than we expected, and we carry those learnings into whatever we build next.

We're figuring it out. Watch this space.